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AP Poll: Gore Has Edge on Economy
November 1, 2000
By WILL LESTER, The Associated Press

WASHINGTON (AP) - Voters give Al Gore a slight edge over
George W. Bush on which candidate could do a better job of keeping the
economy strong, says an Associated Press poll, but even more - four in 10 -
think it will make no difference who wins the presidential election.
That's a bigger group than those who think either Democrat
Gore, 31 percent, or Republican Bush, 22 percent, would be more likely to
keep the nation's economy strong, according to the poll conducted for The AP
by ICR of Media, Pa. That may help explain why Gore has gotten only
limited mileage out of the issue.
Many political analysts had predicted that a robust
economy would automatically translate into Gore's election. National polls
at this late date give Bush an edge or show the race essentially even.
"I don't believe any president controls the
economy," said Ed Poynter, a 59-year-old engineer from Centerline,
Mich., near Detroit, who considers himself an independent. "The
business of government is business - big business. And big business gets
what they want; it would happen either way."
Not surprisingly, Democrats think Gore would do a better
job with the economy, 59 percent, while Republicans generally like Bush, 48
percent. Independents lean toward Gore by 26 percent to 17 percent, but 51
percent of independents think it makes no difference for the economy - a
sentiment shared by many Republicans, 43 percent, and Democrats, 32 percent.
"My general feeling is that both candidates stand
about the same place, pretty much the same cut on the economy," said
Richard Manderscheid, a 39-year-old businessman from Naples, Fla., and a
Republican. "I think the Gore-Clinton administration has taken credit
for technological advancements. That's just the way our economy has been
growing."
Women and men were about equally split on which candidate
would be more likely to keep the economy strong. On the question of who they
support in the election, women generally support Gore and more men support
Bush, but they were in lockstep on the economy - giving Gore an edge but
with many feeling it will make no difference.
Almost nine in 10 in the poll say they are doing better or
about the same as four years ago. Only 10 percent are doing worse. Those
kind of optimistic results often can forecast the outcome of an election.
But poll evidence this year has been mixed.
Bush's across-the-board tax cuts are narrowly favored over
Gore's smaller, targeted tax cuts. More than a third of Democrats like the
Bush approach, while about a fourth of Republicans like the Gore approach.
Independents are about evenly split.
Two thirds in the poll say they are not very worried or
not at all worried about the stock market, considering its recent ups and
downs.
The poll of 811 registered voters was taken Oct. 25-29 and
has an error margin of 4 percentage points.
A third of Republicans, two-thirds of Democrats and four
in 10 independents say their families' financial situations are better now
than four years ago.
Shani Horne, a 32-year-old Los Angeles mother of two and a
Democrat, has no doubt Gore's election would be good for her economically.
"I'm with Gore all the way," she said. "I'm
afraid what will happen if Bush comes into office."
With such thoughts in mind, the Democrats have been
pushing Gore to make the economy his centerpiece in the campaign's waning
days and have voiced frustration as he has shifted themes from the economy
to Social Security to education and back again.
But if Gore has set out to convince people his own
election would be a guarantee of continued prosperity, he hasn't succeeded.
More voters disagree than agree with Gore's assertion his election will
safeguard the economy.
Bob Adams, a 40-year-old Republican and building engineer
from Kansas City, Mo., said the strong economy definitely shouldn't be
attributed to Gore, or to President Clinton.
"I think it happened in spite of them," he said.
AP-NY-11-01-00 0317EST
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