ABC NEWS/GOOD MORNING AMERICA POLL 3/11/00
EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 8 p.m. Tuesday, March 13, 2001
Students on School Violence:  Could it Happen Here?


A third of high school students can think of a classmate who may be troubled enough to stage a violent attack in their school yet fewer than half have ever had a special class or discussion group that told them how to report a threat of school violence.

More than a third also say they've heard a classmate threaten to kill someone but most of them didn't take it seriously or report it to an adult. One in eight say they personally know a student who's brought a gun to school, and one in 10 say they've heard of a plan by one or more students at their school to shoot or kill classmates.

At the same time, hardly over half, 54 percent, say they've had a class, special program or discussion group on the subject of school violence. And just 46 percent have been taught in such a class what to do if they hear a threat or think another student is armed.

On the positive side, this ABC News/Good Morning America poll also finds that most students feel safe, and that their concerns are no worse and in some cases better than they were after the April 1999 shootings at Columbine High School in Littleton, Colo. At that time, for instance, 40 percent saw some likelihood of a violent attack at their own school; now it's 29 percent.  The poll will be aired on ABC's Good Morning America on Wednesday morning, March 14, with a Town Hall Meeting on school violence to air Thursday morning, March 15.

BULLIED Charles Andrew Williams, accused of killing two students and wounding 13 last week in Santee, Calif., reportedly had been a target of bullying at his school. And this poll finds that when students think of a potentially violent classmate, it's generally a boy who comes to mind, and one who's been bullied by others, rather than a bully himself.

Thirty-three percent say they can think of a fellow student "who may be troubled enough to try something like this." That's down a bit from 40 percent in 1999.  Seven in 10 say the potential attacker they can think of is a boy, and 29 percent think of both boys and girls; just two percent have only a girl in mind. Three-quarters say it's more likely to be a person who gets picked on than one who picks on others.

  3/11/01  4/25/99
Know student who might attack 33% 40%
Heard a student threaten to kill 35 32
See some risk of an attack  29  40
Know a student who brought a gun to school   13 20
Heard a plan to kill students   9 N/A
Attended a class on school violence  54  N/A
Had instruction on reporting threats  46 N/A

Relatively few students, 13 percent, say they personally are picked on at school.

CONCERNS Despite the Santee shooting and another two days later in Williamsport, Pa., students are taking the issue in stride. Now as in 1999, nine in 10 say they feel personally safe at their school, and more than three-quarters say violence is not a serious problem there.

There's evidence, moreover, of fewer guns in school, and less access to guns. While 13 percent of students personally know a student who's brought a gun to school, it was 20 percent two years ago. And while 44 percent say it would be easy for them personally to get a gun, that's down from 54 percent in 1999.  Risk, of course, never reaches zero. Among the vast majority of students who haven't seen a gun in school, nine in 10 say they'd report it if it happened. But a few seven percent say they would not report it.  Similarly, just five percent call violence a "very serious" problem at their school (another 16 percent call it "somewhat serious") and just seven percent feel personally unsafe at school. But while small percentages, these represent hundreds of thousands of students.

SECURITY Most students report security measures in place at their schools, and nearly two-thirds think their schools are doing enough to try to prevent violence there. On one hand that's up from 57 percent in 1999; on the other, it leaves a third of high schoolers who think their schools still aren't doing enough to protect them.

Counseling for troubled students is the most prevalent line of deterrence; 87 percent say their school offers it. Sixty-seven percent say there are police officers or armed security guards at their school, and 63 percent say the school tries to identify troubled students who may be prone to violence. About half report random searches of lockers; four in 10, security cameras in the hallways; three in 10, random searches of students. Seven percent report metal detectors at school entrances.

  3/11/01  4/25/99
Provide good counseling   87% 88%
Police/armed guards   67 61
Identify violent students   63 55
Random locker searches   51 51
Security cameras   41 N/A
Random student searches   31 25
Metal detectors   7 5

GROUPS Two factors seem to influence students' perceptions of threat at their schools: The size of the school, and the age of the student. Older students, and those in smaller schools, are less apt to feel threatened.  Fifty-eight percent of teen-agers attending small high schools feel "very safe" from violence, compared to 46 percent of those attending large schools. Similarly, in small schools just 12 percent call violence a serious problem; in larger schools it's 23 percent.

Interestingly, while students in larger schools are less apt to feel safe, these are the same schools that are more likely to have police or armed security guards on patrol. Among students in larger schools, 84 percent say they have guards; in small schools it's just 43 percent. Larger schools and the presence of guards are more prevalent in the West.

In rural schools, which tend to be smaller, 54 percent of students feel very safe, compared to 49 percent in suburban schools and 41 percent in city schools. While rural schools are less likely to have guards, they're more likely to conduct random searches of student lockers. Sixty-one percent in rural schools say this happens, compared to fewer than half in city or suburban schools.

  School Size
  <500 501-1,000 >1,000
Feel very safe 58% 42% 48%
Violence a serious problem 12 26 22
Have police/armed guards 43  63  84

Girls are more likely than boys to think their schools should be doing more to deter violence; 41 percent of girls think so, compared to 28 percent of boys. But in other gauges, including personal feelings of safety, there's no real difference between the sexes.

METHODOLOGY - This ABC News poll was conducted by telephone March 8-11, 2001, among a random national sample of 500 high school students. The results have a 4.5-point error margin. Field work by ICR- International Communications Research of Media, Pa.

Analysis by Gary Langer.  ABC News polls can be found at ABCNEWS.com on the Internet, at :|http://abcnews.go.com /sections/ politics/PollVault/PollVault.html|Here are the full results:  *= less than 0.5 percent

1. In your opinion, is violence at your high school a very serious problem, somewhat serious, not too serious or not much of a problem at all?

-----Serious---- -------Not serious----- No
NET Very Smwht NET Not too Not at all opin.
3/11/01 21 5 16 79 31 48 *
4/25/99 23 5 18 77 29 49 0

2. Would you say you personally feel very safe from violence at your school, somewhat safe, somewhat unsafe, or very unsafe?

------Safe----- -----Unsafe---- No
NET Very Smwht NET Smwht Very opin.

3/11/01

93 48 44 7 5 2 *
4/25/99 88 42 47 11 9 2 *

3. How would you rate the security precautions that your school has in place to try to prevent violence there? Would you say the security at your school is excellent, good, not so good or poor?

----Exc/Good---- -----Not good/poor----  No
NET Exc Good NET Not good Poor opin.
3/11/01 75 14 61 24 19 6 1
4/25/99 70 12 59 29 19 10 *

4. Do you think your school is doing enough to try to prevent violence there, or should it be doing more?

Doing enough Should do more No opinion
3/11/01 64 34 2
4/25/99  57 42 1

5. As you may know, some students have shot and killed or wounded other students at some schools recently. What's the chance this kind of thing could happen at your school - would you say it's very likely, somewhat likely, somewhat unlikely, or very unlikely?

-----Likely------ -----Unlikely----- No
NET Very Smwht NET Smwht Very opin.
3/11/01 29 6 23 69 34 35 2
4/25/99* 40 9 31 58 29 29 2

* "two students shot and killed several people at a high school in Littleton, Colorado this week."


6. Can you think of any students at your own school who you think might be troubled enough to do something like this?

Yes 

No  No opinion
3/11/01 33 63 4
4/25/99 40 59 2

6a. Are you thinking of one or more (girls), one or more (boys), or both (girls) and (boys)?

Girls Boys Both No opinion
3/11/01 2 68 29 1

6b. Are the kids youre thinking of more likely to be (bullies who pick on other kids), more likely to be (kids who get picked on), or what?

Bullies Kids who get picked on Both (vol.) Neither (vol.) No opin.
3/11/01  10 76 11 2 1

8. I'm going to name a few things your school might or might not do in an effort to prevent violence there. (First/next) is (read item). As far as you know, is that something your school does or does not do?  
a. Try to identify troubled students who may be prone to violence

Does  Does not  No opinion
3/11/01 63  26  11
4/25/99  55 32 13

b. Have metal detectors at school entrances

Does  Does not  No opinion
3/11/01 7 93 1
4/25/99  5 94 1

c. Conduct random searches of students lockers

Does  Does not  No opinion
3/11/01 51 44 5
4/25/99  51 46 3

d. Conduct random searches of students themselves

Does  Does not  No opinion
3/11/01 31 64 6
4/25/99  25 72 3

e. Have police officers or armed security guards on patrol at the school

Does  Does not  No opinion
3/11/01 67 31 2
4/25/99  61 38 1

f. Offer effective counseling and other assistance to troubled students

Does  Does not  No opinion
3/11/01 87 8 4
4/25/99  88 10 2

g. Have security cameras in hallways and other areas

Does  Does not  No opinion
3/11/01 41  55  5

10. Do you personally know any students who have ever brought a gun to your school, or not?

Yes  No

No opinion

3/11/01 13 86 *
4/25/99  20 79 1

10a. (IF YES) Did you report it to a teacher or some other adult, or not?

Yes  No

No opinion

3/11/01

Insufficient sample size

4/25/99 

16 

83  1

10c. (IF NO in Q10.) If you did know a student who brought a gun to school, do you think you would report it to a teacher or some other adult, or not?  (Not asked of parents)

Yes  No No opinion
3/11/01 90 7 3
4/25/99 90  9  1

11. Have you ever heard a student at your school threaten to kill someone, or not?

Yes No  No opinion
3/11/01 35 64 1
4/25/99 32 67 1

11b. (IF HEARD THREAT/S) Did you take (it/them) seriously, or not?

Yes No  No opinion
3/11/01 26 73 2
4/25/99 27 72 1

11c. (IF HEARD THREAT/S) Did you report (it/them) to a teacher or some other adult, or not?

Yes No  No opinion
3/11/01 25 75 0
4/25/99 22 78 0

12. Has anyone at your high school ever threatened to kill you, or not?

Yes No  No opinion
3/11/01 5 95 0
4/25/99 5 95 0

13. How difficult or easy do you think it would be for you to get a gun?

-----Easy------- ---Difficult---  Have gun  No
NET Very Smwht NET Smwht Very (vol.) opin
3/11/01 44 22 21 51 22 30 3 1

4/25/99

54 31 23 45 23 22 0 1

14. Do you or does anyone in your house own a gun?

Yes No  No opinion
3/11/01 44 55 2

4/25/99

47 52 1

15. Have you ever heard of a plan by a student or students at your school to shoot or kill other people at school, or not?

Yes No  No opinion
3/11/01 9 91 0

16. Have you had any classes, special programs or discussion groups in your school on the subject of school violence, or not?

Yes No  No opinion
3/11/01 54  43  3

17. Did that include information on what to do if you hear somebody make a threat or if you think they have a weapon, or not?

Yes No  No opinion
3/11/01 86  12  2

18. Now thinking of your own experiences at your school, do you personally get picked on by other students, or not?

Yes No  No opinion
3/11/01 13 87 *